{
  "as_of": "2026-10-25",
  "published": "2026-10-28",
  "source": "/data/prediction-audit-2026-10-25.csv",
  "source_sha256": "1f5d210bc9d8a7b107e9e18382ef472d743d4cb15f5c159fcca7a4af86bf7747",
  "scope": "公開台帳主集計の予想シミュレーション。独立した競走結果監査ではない。",
  "analysis": {
    "total": {
      "entries": 65,
      "events": 62,
      "invested": 65500,
      "payout": 35060,
      "net": -30440,
      "roi_pct": 53.52671755725191,
      "profitable": 13,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 14,
      "zero_return": 38
    },
    "months": {
      "2026-04": {
        "entries": 3,
        "events": 3,
        "invested": 3500,
        "payout": 3360,
        "net": -140,
        "roi_pct": 96.0,
        "profitable": 1,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 1,
        "zero_return": 1
      },
      "2026-05": {
        "entries": 8,
        "events": 8,
        "invested": 7500,
        "payout": 3490,
        "net": -4010,
        "roi_pct": 46.53333333333333,
        "profitable": 2,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 0,
        "zero_return": 6
      },
      "2026-06": {
        "entries": 5,
        "events": 5,
        "invested": 5000,
        "payout": 7270,
        "net": 2270,
        "roi_pct": 145.4,
        "profitable": 2,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 0,
        "zero_return": 3
      },
      "2026-07": {
        "entries": 8,
        "events": 8,
        "invested": 8000,
        "payout": 3010,
        "net": -4990,
        "roi_pct": 37.625,
        "profitable": 1,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 2,
        "zero_return": 5
      },
      "2026-08": {
        "entries": 11,
        "events": 11,
        "invested": 11000,
        "payout": 2820,
        "net": -8180,
        "roi_pct": 25.636363636363637,
        "profitable": 1,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 1,
        "zero_return": 9
      },
      "2026-09": {
        "entries": 13,
        "events": 12,
        "invested": 13500,
        "payout": 3380,
        "net": -10120,
        "roi_pct": 25.037037037037038,
        "profitable": 1,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 5,
        "zero_return": 7
      },
      "2026-10": {
        "entries": 17,
        "events": 15,
        "invested": 17000,
        "payout": 11730,
        "net": -5270,
        "roi_pct": 69.0,
        "profitable": 5,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 5,
        "zero_return": 7
      }
    },
    "honmei_win": {
      "entries": 13,
      "events": 13,
      "invested": 13500,
      "payout": 17950,
      "net": 4450,
      "roi_pct": 132.96296296296296,
      "profitable": 6,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 4,
      "zero_return": 3
    },
    "honmei_other": {
      "entries": 52,
      "events": 49,
      "invested": 52000,
      "payout": 17110,
      "net": -34890,
      "roi_pct": 32.90384615384615,
      "profitable": 7,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 10,
      "zero_return": 35
    },
    "honmei_missing": {
      "entries": 0,
      "events": 0,
      "invested": 0,
      "payout": 0,
      "net": 0,
      "roi_pct": null,
      "profitable": 0,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 0,
      "zero_return": 0
    },
    "highest_returns": [
      {
        "race": "宝塚記念",
        "date": "2026-06-14",
        "url": "/races/takarazuka-kinen-2026.html",
        "payout": 4470
      },
      {
        "race": "毎日王冠",
        "date": "2026-10-04",
        "url": "/races/mainichi-okan-2026.html",
        "payout": 2820
      },
      {
        "race": "函館記念",
        "date": "2026-06-28",
        "url": "/races/hakodate-kinen-2026.html",
        "payout": 2800
      }
    ],
    "top_three_payout_share_pct": 28.779235596120934,
    "sensitivity": {
      "1": {
        "entries": 64,
        "events": 61,
        "invested": 64500,
        "payout": 30590,
        "net": -33910,
        "roi_pct": 47.42635658914729,
        "profitable": 12,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 14,
        "zero_return": 38
      },
      "3": {
        "entries": 62,
        "events": 59,
        "invested": 62500,
        "payout": 24970,
        "net": -37530,
        "roi_pct": 39.952,
        "profitable": 10,
        "break_even": 0,
        "partial_loss": 14,
        "zero_return": 38
      }
    },
    "current_fixed": {
      "entries": 26,
      "events": 26,
      "invested": 27000,
      "payout": 14780,
      "net": -12220,
      "roi_pct": 54.74074074074074,
      "profitable": 6,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 9,
      "zero_return": 11
    },
    "additional": {
      "entries": 3,
      "events": 3,
      "invested": 2500,
      "payout": 0,
      "net": -2500,
      "roi_pct": 0.0,
      "profitable": 0,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 0,
      "zero_return": 3
    },
    "discretionary": {
      "entries": 3,
      "events": 3,
      "invested": 3000,
      "payout": 990,
      "net": -2010,
      "roi_pct": 33.0,
      "profitable": 0,
      "break_even": 0,
      "partial_loss": 2,
      "zero_return": 1
    }
  }
}